National Weather Service
3 products issued by NWS for: Vega Baja PR
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-271515-
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR AL052015
305 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015
THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- NONE
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL PUERTO
RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 360 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 290
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI
- 16.8N 60.8W
- STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
- MOVEMENT WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
RAINFALL ESTIMATES OVER THE LOCAL AREA ARE EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 3
AND 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUMS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. ERIKA WILL
MOVE INTO THE ANEGADA PASSAGE LATE THIS MORNING AND BEGIN TO AFFECT
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ERIKA WILL PASS NORTH
OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO LATE THIS EVENING.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
RESCUES.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.
* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS
PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.
- MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE
SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON
BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
- SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.
* SURGE:
LITTLE IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND THE NORTH AND EAST COASTAL AREAS OF PUERTO RICO.
* TORNADOES:
LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO RICO
AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.
OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.
CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.
IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 6 AM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
$$
Tropical Storm Warning
ERIKA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR AL052015
552 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015
PRZ005-271800-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NORTH CENTRAL-
552 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- NORTH CENTRAL
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
- PEAK WIND FORECAST: 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: MODERATE
- THE WIND THREAT HAS INCREASED FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
- EMERGENCY CONSIDERATIONS SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT
FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND OF 58 TO 73 MPH.
- BE SAFE AND EARNESTLY PROTECT AGAINST THE POTENTIAL OF
SIGNIFICANT WIND IMPACTS.
- DANGEROUS WIND IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER
MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY, OR IN SOME CASES LOSS OF LIFE.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT
- SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH
DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW
BUILDINGS EXPERIENCING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR
FAILURES. MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED.
UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
- SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER
NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SEVERAL
FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN
URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS,
AND ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
- SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE
PREVALENT IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE
- PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR UP TO 1 FEET
ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS
- WINDOW OF CONCERN: THROUGH THIS MORNING
- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
- THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
- EMERGENCY CONSIDERATIONS SHOULD POSTURE FOR A REASONABLE
THREAT FOR PEAK STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
GROUND.
- TO BE SAFE, STAY AWAY FROM STORM SURGE FLOODING CAPABLE OF
LIMITED IMPACTS.
- LOCALIZED INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO FOLLOW THE
INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: STILL UNFOLDING
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE STILL
UNFOLDING.
- THE EXTENT OF REALIZED IMPACTS WILL DEPEND ON THE ACTUAL
HEIGHT OF STORM SURGE MOVING ONSHORE AND THE RESULTING
DEPTH OF COASTAL FLOODING AS EXPERIENCED AT PARTICULAR
LOCATIONS.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 2-4 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS
- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: MODERATE
- THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM
THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
- EMERGENCY CONSIDERATIONS SHOULD INCLUDE A THREAT OF
FLOODING.
- BE SAFE AND REMAIN READY TO PROTECT AGAINST FLOODING RAIN
IMPACTS. STAY INFORMED.
- IF FLOOD RELATED WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT, HEED
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS. ALSO LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE RIVER FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR LONGER-TERM IMPACTS ALONG RIVERS.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT
- MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS
AND RESCUES.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH
SWIFTER CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES,
ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS,
CREEKS, CANALS, ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN
FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS
OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON
MOVING WATER AS STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW.
DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE
CLOSURES.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- SITUATION IS UNFAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES
- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: NONE
- THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS MAY STILL
OCCUR.
- EXERCISE DUE SAFETY.
- REVIEW YOUR SEASONAL PLAN AND ENSURE READINESS FOR THE NEXT
TROPICAL TORNADO EVENT.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: NONE
- LITTLE TO NO POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM TORNADOES.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU/
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 547 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015 AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-281100- SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR- NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST- WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES- THE NEARSHORE AND OFF SHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS- 547 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PUERTO RICO TODAY...BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS WITH STRONGER WINDS AND GUSTS AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. SQUALLY WEATHER IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND IN THE EVENING HOURS. MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS AND SOME WIND DAMAGE FROM THE WIND GUSTS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PUERTO RICO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MOST OF THE SIGNIFICANT SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT FROM THURSDAY TO FRIDAY...PARTICULARLY RIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF FRIDAY. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECASTS 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WITH MAX TOTALS OF 8 INCHES. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL CAN PRODUCE FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS...IN ADDITION IT COULD POTENTIALLY CAUSE SOME FLASH FLOODING. IN TERMS OF WINDS...ERIKA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME WIND DAMAGE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING...AMOUNTS OF RAIN OR WIND DAMAGE WILL BE APPRECIATED. $$